Lessons learned
Our location: 27.88 N, 82.28 W
Frances' location (as of 2 p.m. EDT): 26.9 N, 79.0 W.
I'm feeling bad for these TV guys, who are having to say the same things repeatedly again. "It's an incredibly slow moving storm ... " "It's an incredibly slow-moving storm" ... " "It's an incredibly slow moving storm" ... which means there's nothing new to report.
Some lessons were learned from three weeks ago, however:
--More than 2.5 million people have been ordered to evacuate. However, they're being told to stay close to home, preferably in a higher-level area of their home county. Traffic has been bad, but it hasn't yet been the nightmare that it could have been with an evacuation of that magnitude.
--The TV folks are being careful to remind people to not focus on the path, but on the wider cone of the margin of error. This lesson is sticking tight, given that we all focused on Charley's forecast path right up until the second it changed.
The thing that we're working against now is hurricane fatigue. Being able to plan this far out for a disaster means that people are now sitting in shelters with nothing happening. "Shelters are for emergencies," one woman told The Miami Herald as she left a shelter, against the advice of local authorities. People are going to be too drained from the pre-math to deal with the aftermath, if there is an aftermath.
Frances' location (as of 2 p.m. EDT): 26.9 N, 79.0 W.
I'm feeling bad for these TV guys, who are having to say the same things repeatedly again. "It's an incredibly slow moving storm ... " "It's an incredibly slow-moving storm" ... " "It's an incredibly slow moving storm" ... which means there's nothing new to report.
Some lessons were learned from three weeks ago, however:
--More than 2.5 million people have been ordered to evacuate. However, they're being told to stay close to home, preferably in a higher-level area of their home county. Traffic has been bad, but it hasn't yet been the nightmare that it could have been with an evacuation of that magnitude.
--The TV folks are being careful to remind people to not focus on the path, but on the wider cone of the margin of error. This lesson is sticking tight, given that we all focused on Charley's forecast path right up until the second it changed.
The thing that we're working against now is hurricane fatigue. Being able to plan this far out for a disaster means that people are now sitting in shelters with nothing happening. "Shelters are for emergencies," one woman told The Miami Herald as she left a shelter, against the advice of local authorities. People are going to be too drained from the pre-math to deal with the aftermath, if there is an aftermath.

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